The study was performed from May 1-7, 2024, with 800 respondents aged at least 17 years or married. The margin of error is approximately 3.46%, with a reliability of 95%. The method used was multistage random sampling. Data collection was carried out through face-to-face interviews using a questionnaire. ICRC is a national polling firm registered with the official association PERSEPI and listed with the KPU RI. ICRC is managed by a former Indo Barometer Director from 2012-2022 and a team highly experienced in conducting surveys in various Pilkada across Indonesia.
The Chairman of DPD PDI Perjuangan (PDIP) West Java, Ono Surono, mentioned that no party in West Java can nominate a governor and deputy governor in the 2024 West Java Pilkada without forming political alliances
Many Figures Furthermore, the Administrative and Bureaucratic Reform Minister, Abdullah Azwar Anas, is also considered a potential East Java governor hopeful. “Then who else, Minister Abdullah Azwar Anas, former Banyuwangi Regent. If he can in Jakarta, why not in East Java?” said Eriko. As for the vice-governor candidate, Eriko said that PDI-P also has many potential candidates. They include Vice Chair of PDIP DPD Jatim Budi Kanang Sulistyono and Regent of Kediri Hanindhito Himawan Pramana. “For the deputy candidate in East Java, there are even more. There’s Mas Kanang, Mas Dito. Many more regional leaders there,” he added.
“In the Central Java Pilkada, from the responses of 1,688 respondents, Hendrar Prihadi was chosen by 21.4%, and Sudaryono was chosen by 20.1%,” said TBRC Executive Director Johanes Romeo in a written statement received, Friday (May 3, 2024) .
According to Ujang, this win-win solution can already be seen. For instance, in West Java, Gerindra Party is open to nominating Dedi Mulyadi, who has already become their cadre. Therefore, they are pushing RK to run in Jakarta. “In West Java, Gerindra might want to take it with Dedi Mulyadi as the gubernatorial candidate and Ridwan Kamil from Golkar in Jakarta. This is a win-win solution for KIM to win in both regions,” he said.
“One factor is electability, right, and the second is capability. That’s clear. Sahroni may have capability, we are confident in that, he is a young man, but his electability for the Jakarta field needs to be carefully considered,” said Paloh.
According to Hadi, the figures for Al Haris as the sitting governor are relatively low. He said that the survey also showed the public’s satisfaction level with Al Haris’ performance as governor, which is 62.4% pleased, 28.1% displeased, and 9.5% undecided. “During his time in office, Al Haris has a performance satisfaction rate of 62.4% (below the ideal figure of 75 percent),” said Hadi. Moreover, he added, Al Haris’ popularity rate is already at a maximum of 98%, while the recognition of Romi Hariyanto is still at 74.3% and has the potential to continue rising. “Additionally, the level of voter preference for Al Haris to return as governor is above 35.4% (below 50 percent). The wish for Al Haris to come back as governor is 35.4%, not wanting him to return is 28.9%, and undecided is 35.8%,” clarified Hadi.
The study conducted by ICRC was performed in the Province of Jambi, covering 11 municipalities. ICRC Executive Director H. Suprapto Rusli clarified that the objective of the survey was to evaluate the chances of the 2024 gubernatorial candidates. The results, based on Hadi, show that the incumbent Governor of Jambi, has unchanged electability compared to the candidate for governor, H. Romi Hariyanto. “The choices for gubernatorial candidates (open/spontaneous question) are Haris Al 21.9%, R. Hariyanto 12.0%, C. Endra 11.4%, Mashuri M. 5.5%, Fasha Syarif 2.9%, and so on, with 45% unsure,” said Hadi during the announcement of the 2024 Jambi Pilkada survey results through a written statement on Tuesday.
Adi Prayitno stated that the current conditions and situation are still very dynamic, given that the Pilkada is still six months away. Therefore, it is natural for political leaders to still be discussing potential names to propose. However, based on current survey data, there are only two major names. “Anies is still the strongest, closely followed by RK,” he said, as quoted on Saturday (8/6/2024). Other names, although appearing in surveys, are still not competitive enough to contend with Anies Baswedan or RK. “If a name like Anies can participate, the only suitable opponent is RK. Other names are not yet competitive,” Adi said.
In line with Adi, political observer from Al-Azhar University, Ujang Komarudin, stated that so far, political elite are still observing each other. Thus, definitive names for the Jakarta contest have yet to appear. However, he sees the statement from the Gerindra Party as a win-win solution. “West Java wants to be won by KIM, Jakarta also wants to be won by KIM,” he said.
“No, there hasn’t been any,” said Hendrar when met after the 10th-anniversary celebration of the Ganjar Grassroots Network Volunteers (Jangkar Baja) in South Jakarta, Friday (April 10, 2024), as reported by Antara.
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